Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 98222.278221 103521.858943 108816.208053 114498.680845 120421.480599 126409.193215 132916.454479
2025-08-31 88697.227491 96747.944158 105011.881727 114118.066953 123859.865370 133958.324514 145206.922977
2025-09-07 83143.058690 93172.859425 103689.141526 115515.682859 128422.796203 142059.192009 157532.630778
2025-09-14 78620.172005 90130.946972 102416.599436 116468.816187 132059.329659 148788.703773 168059.287178
2025-09-21 74394.763061 87023.038712 100714.645564 116608.998034 134497.544665 153952.382443 176653.655261
2025-09-28 70816.507821 84362.721038 99259.004012 116783.322124 136759.472589 158744.690772 184692.036578
2025-10-05 68730.689769 83225.230309 99366.858585 118581.407978 140731.930356 165365.900140 194729.443561
2025-10-12 66713.724148 82026.443887 99281.312350 120047.057070 144235.733834 171395.686517 204065.812636
2025-10-19 64514.526597 80489.381786 98693.663749 120830.646966 146870.732289 176374.426855 212167.175002
2025-10-26 62170.798734 78667.100949 97670.046688 121009.398681 148722.064160 180391.167069 219121.873683
2025-11-02 60189.483007 77186.307906 96967.310773 121491.222813 150867.323238 184707.445548 226405.186859
2025-11-09 58105.338257 75493.734247 95933.213798 121505.029674 152397.353024 188259.592273 232768.360187
2025-11-16 56800.399366 74723.030266 95991.098011 122829.695459 155512.848953 193730.001478 241482.557959
2025-11-23 54841.249961 73074.383470 94922.035108 122735.387861 156882.234551 197105.195825 247707.703310
2025-11-30 53834.606758 72572.361720 95223.361370 124289.397216 160236.591005 202860.281980 256811.099269
2025-12-07 52637.966394 71781.854924 95126.268518 125317.430610 162925.659612 207807.501567 264955.785460
2025-12-14 51094.524608 70494.622247 94360.454690 125469.926768 164502.577768 211385.708468 271437.617756
2025-12-21 49652.529960 69288.992375 93653.257727 125655.838560 166089.939375 214959.128001 277913.024158
2025-12-28 49076.625384 69183.246329 94321.492240 127564.890195 169826.223498 221184.278829 287676.920802
2026-01-04 48376.948953 68887.095415 94724.047487 129120.647320 173114.184189 226865.760546 296800.232377
2026-01-11 47397.159440 68187.431117 94578.818839 129952.314791 175473.493704 231393.894716 304510.598546
2026-01-18 46189.113271 67146.530169 93958.072931 130142.025750 176995.227266 234867.025132 310911.851737
2026-01-25 45170.807650 66330.054288 93603.358329 130653.369849 178912.761845 238832.658053 317941.687132